News

1. TWiV 1221: Nonsense mediated decay (www.microbe.tv)
2. xkcd on radon (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
3. A Convenient Piece of Junk Science (www.theatlantic.com)
4. TWiV 1220: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
5. “Exploratory data analysis” and “confirmatory data analysis” are the same thing. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
6. RFK Jr.’s Worst Nightmare (www.theatlantic.com)
7. Eunji Kim’s book, “The American Mirage: How Reality TV Upholds the Myth of Meritocracy” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
8. COVID Shots for Kids Are Over (www.theatlantic.com)
9. Prior as data, prior as belief, prior as soft constraint, prior as unconditional distribution in a generative model (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
10. “What happened in 2024” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
11. Trump Thinks He Knows What Started the Pandemic (www.theatlantic.com)
12. “Can language models predict the next twist in a story?” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
13. Which AI coding assistant should I be using? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
14. The MAHA Crowd Is Already Questioning Biden’s Cancer Diagnosis (www.theatlantic.com)
15. Test Schedule (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
16. If only Arxiv required researchers to sign at the top rather than the bottom of the page, none of this would’ve happened. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
17. Graduation Days: A tale of two campuses (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
18. Why were schools so slow to return to in-person instruction? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
19. TWiV 1219: Koalas sweep horse shift (www.microbe.tv)
20. An alternative Monty Hall problem. As with the usual Monty Hall problem, just set it up as a probability tree and it all works out (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
21. The Neo-Anti-Vaxxers Are in Power Now (www.theatlantic.com)
22. TWiV 1218: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
23. Struggles with surveying nonvoters and young voters (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
24. Animated population pyramids for the Pacific (freerangestats.info)
25. Too many polls: “As news consumers, we’re like gluttons stuffing our faces with 5 potato chips at a time, just grabbing them out of the bag.” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
26. The Mother Who Never Stopped Believing Her Son Was Still There (www.theatlantic.com)
27. Using Stan to do sequential Bayesian updating (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
28. The Lives They’re Living and this new biography of Elaine May (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
29. Chaining Bayesian inference with priors constructed from posterior draws (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
30. The fractal nature of scientific revolutions (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
31. Immune Booster #12: Innate immunity to Archaea with Holger Heine (www.microbe.tv)
32. Weight-Loss Drugs Aren’t Really About Weight (www.theatlantic.com)
33. Bad advice all over the internet (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
34. Plotting truth vs. predicted value (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
35. TWiV 1217: Alternative vax and pandemic origins (www.microbe.tv)
36. A study is conducted on two groups. When does it make sense to report two separate estimates, and when does it make sense to just report the pooled estimate? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
37. TWiV 1216: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
38. Back before he was a vaccine denier, law professor Richard Epstein was a cliche-spinning dispenser of misinformation (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
39. The MAHA Takeover Is Complete (www.theatlantic.com)
40. Don’t Hold Out On Me: Some thoughts on out-of-sample prediction (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
41. Now Is Not the Time to Eat Bagged Lettuce (www.theatlantic.com)
42. Misattribution (when someone claims you said something that you’ve never said)–it’s kind of like plagiarism in reverse. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
43. ‘It’s All Cronyism Going Forward’ (www.theatlantic.com)
44. Evaluation blind spots and eliciting moving targets (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
45. “On Sociological Exploitation: Why the Guinea Pig Sometimes Bites” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
46. TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Thomas Tu (www.microbe.tv)
47. AISTATS ’25 Best Paper award—Margossian and Saul on exact recovery of means and correlation in VI (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
48. How the World Became Awash in Synthetics (www.theatlantic.com)
49. Breakfast Is Breaking (www.theatlantic.com)
50. I. J. Good corner: The flying Venus flytrap and other partly-baked ideas (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
51. Books by Charles Rosen and Jeremy Denk on piano playing and the nature of music (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
52. TWiV 1215: What's the worst that could happen? (www.microbe.tv)
53. (again) Yeah, yeah, I understand why you’re all talking about accusations of fraud. But for the rest of us, it’s about the non-replication and the bad science, not about possible fraud and blame (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
54. TWiV 1214: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
55. Measurement error model Stan fitting struggle: The funnel again rears its ugly head (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
56. Anticipated good news if the economy goes downhill (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
57. Here’s what’s happening with time-shifting of births. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
58. What is judgment and decision making (JDM)? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
59. Well, That’s One Way to Address America’s Vaping Problem (www.theatlantic.com)
60. “They had it all but they wanted more”: Left-wing radicals in the 1960s and right-wingers now (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
61. The Texas County Where ‘Everybody Has Somebody in Their Family’ With Dementia (www.theatlantic.com)
62. Of plagues and chickens: How can someone be so skeptical in one place and so credulous somewhere else? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
63. Immune 91: People, parasites, plagues, and podcasts (www.microbe.tv)
64. TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Chari Cohen (www.microbe.tv)
65. Generalizing for Sampling and Causal Inference (my talk 3pm today at the University of Maryland) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
66. The End of Chicken-Breast Dominance (www.theatlantic.com)
67. I don’t buy that claim that “eating whole foods and avoiding toxins” is a “horseshoe” alliance of the far left and far right (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
68. TWiV 1213: Secrets of HepB cccDNA (www.microbe.tv)
69. “Either a 2% or a 75% chance of rain” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
70. TWiV 1212: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
71. World Economic Outlook (freerangestats.info)
72. The well-meaning but useless or counterproductive social science establishment (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
73. Trump’s Tariffs Are Coming for Your Chili Crisp (www.theatlantic.com)
74. Let’s take apart this claim by Christopher Lasch from 1977 that hasn’t aged well: “Such changes have made both racist ideology and the ideology of martial conquest, appropriate to an earlier age of empire-building, increasingly anachronistic.” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
75. ‘This Is Not How We Do Science, Ever’ (www.theatlantic.com)
76. “The difference between ‘significant’ and ‘not significant’ is not itself statistically significant” . . . in the wild! (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
77. Why Has America Ignored Its Best Addiction Treatment? (www.theatlantic.com)
78. Friday 10am: Online conversation on “Experiments, Causal Inference, and Limits of Evidence” with Nancy Cartwright and Berna Devezer (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
79. Good Job, MAHA (www.theatlantic.com)
80. The Error-Reversal Heuristic: How would you have reacted had the mistake gone in the opposite direction? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
81. TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Stephan Urban (www.microbe.tv)
82. New course this fall at Columbia: Laboratory in Justice Data Science (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
83. What day of the year will have the fewest noninduced births? (Difference between mathematical and statistical reasoning) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
84. Intergenerational socioeconomic mobility over time for different ethnic groups (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
85. TWiV 1211: Moo flu and dengue two (www.microbe.tv)
86. Buy your Tesla at closing time: For 15 years, these stocks have been mildly fluctuating during the day and shooting up overnight. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
87. TWiV 1210: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
88. Dumb statistical models, always making people look bad (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
89. Doxastic Logic: a model of beliefs (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
90. The Disaster of School Closures Should Have Been Foreseen (www.theatlantic.com)
91. How Organ Meat Got Into Smoothies (www.theatlantic.com)
92. ‘In Three Months, Half of Them Will Be Dead’ (www.theatlantic.com)
93. Do You Have Your Cootie Shot? (www.theatlantic.com)
94. Republicans Are Right About Soda (www.theatlantic.com)
95. TWiV 1209: Just say no to norovirus (www.microbe.tv)
96. TWiV 1208: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
97. Immune Booster #11 Immunity to Fungi with Amy Hise (www.microbe.tv)
98. TWiV 1207: Taking a shot at dementia (www.microbe.tv)
99. TWiV 1206: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
100. TWiV 1205: Pluviosity didn't kill the bat (www.microbe.tv)
101. TWiV 1204: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)