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  1. MAHA Has a Pizza Problem (www.theatlantic.com)
  2. Anything you can do with Bayesian inference you can do in other ways. Bayesian inference is a bit like calculus: You can do derivatives and integrals without calculus (indeed, mathematicians in pre-Newtonian times were able to compute limits, with care), but calculus makes it a lot easier. Similarly, I find that Bayesian inference makes it a lot easier to combine information. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  3. Different sequences in narrative: why suspense can go flat (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  4. More on the emptiness of the government’s “gold standard science” slogan (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  5. Mount Everest’s Xenon-Gas Controversy Will Last Forever (www.theatlantic.com)
  6. Survey Statistics: 2 flavors of calibration (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  7. “Gold standard science” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  8. Pascal’s triangle, the Ramanujan principle, and what makes something look like a part of an ellipse or a part a parabola? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  9. A PTSD Therapy ‘Seemed Too Good to Be True’ (www.theatlantic.com)
  10. Survey Statistics: it is the people (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  11. Names in fiction (Perkus Tooth, Morrison Roog, Ragle Gumm, Addison Doug, Bodie Kane, and Thalia Keith) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  12. TWiV 1223: Someone is guano be sick (www.microbe.tv)
  13. The ladder of abstraction in statistical graphics (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  14. HIV’s Most Promising Breakthrough Has Taken a Hit (www.theatlantic.com)
  15. TWiV 1222: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  16. Statistical graphics: When does it make sense to introduce deliberate distortion to counteract an expected perceptual illusion? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  17. LLMs as behavioral study participants (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  18. Russian roulette: You can have a deterministic potential-outcome framework, or an asymmetric utility function, but not both (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  19. The Conversations Trump’s Doctors Should Be Having With Him (www.theatlantic.com)
  20. Ecologists’ endless quest for automatic inference (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  21. Jerzy Neyman, Sigmund Freud, and Milton Friedman walk into a bar . . . (the mistaken association of null hypothesis testing with rigor) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  22. Election analytics positions available at the New York Times (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  23. Immune 92: Gut symbiont breaks antibody (www.microbe.tv)
  24. Taking our Models Seriously (my talk at StanBio Connect, this Friday 9am) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  25. The ‘Man-Eater’ Screwworm Is Coming (www.theatlantic.com)
  26. Market and antimarket: The story of the Berkeley Electronic Press (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  27. “Perplexing Plots”: Crime fiction, modernism, and the air of rigor (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  28. TWiV 1221: Nonsense mediated decay (www.microbe.tv)
  29. xkcd on radon (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  30. A Convenient Piece of Junk Science (www.theatlantic.com)
  31. TWiV 1220: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  32. “Exploratory data analysis” and “confirmatory data analysis” are the same thing. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  33. RFK Jr.’s Worst Nightmare (www.theatlantic.com)
  34. Eunji Kim’s book, “The American Mirage: How Reality TV Upholds the Myth of Meritocracy” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  35. COVID Shots for Kids Are Over (www.theatlantic.com)
  36. Prior as data, prior as belief, prior as soft constraint, prior as unconditional distribution in a generative model (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  37. “What happened in 2024” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  38. Trump Thinks He Knows What Started the Pandemic (www.theatlantic.com)
  39. “Can language models predict the next twist in a story?” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  40. Which AI coding assistant should I be using? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  41. The MAHA Crowd Is Already Questioning Biden’s Cancer Diagnosis (www.theatlantic.com)
  42. Test Schedule (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  43. If only Arxiv required researchers to sign at the top rather than the bottom of the page, none of this would’ve happened. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  44. Graduation Days: A tale of two campuses (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  45. Why were schools so slow to return to in-person instruction? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  46. TWiV 1219: Koalas sweep horse shift (www.microbe.tv)
  47. An alternative Monty Hall problem. As with the usual Monty Hall problem, just set it up as a probability tree and it all works out (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  48. The Neo-Anti-Vaxxers Are in Power Now (www.theatlantic.com)
  49. TWiV 1218: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  50. Struggles with surveying nonvoters and young voters (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  51. Animated population pyramids for the Pacific (freerangestats.info)
  52. Too many polls: “As news consumers, we’re like gluttons stuffing our faces with 5 potato chips at a time, just grabbing them out of the bag.” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  53. The Mother Who Never Stopped Believing Her Son Was Still There (www.theatlantic.com)
  54. Using Stan to do sequential Bayesian updating (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  55. The Lives They’re Living and this new biography of Elaine May (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  56. Chaining Bayesian inference with priors constructed from posterior draws (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  57. The fractal nature of scientific revolutions (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  58. Immune Booster #12: Innate immunity to Archaea with Holger Heine (www.microbe.tv)
  59. Weight-Loss Drugs Aren’t Really About Weight (www.theatlantic.com)
  60. Bad advice all over the internet (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  61. Plotting truth vs. predicted value (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  62. TWiV 1217: Alternative vax and pandemic origins (www.microbe.tv)
  63. A study is conducted on two groups. When does it make sense to report two separate estimates, and when does it make sense to just report the pooled estimate? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  64. TWiV 1216: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  65. Back before he was a vaccine denier, law professor Richard Epstein was a cliche-spinning dispenser of misinformation (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  66. The MAHA Takeover Is Complete (www.theatlantic.com)
  67. Don’t Hold Out On Me: Some thoughts on out-of-sample prediction (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  68. Now Is Not the Time to Eat Bagged Lettuce (www.theatlantic.com)
  69. Misattribution (when someone claims you said something that you’ve never said)–it’s kind of like plagiarism in reverse. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  70. ‘It’s All Cronyism Going Forward’ (www.theatlantic.com)
  71. Evaluation blind spots and eliciting moving targets (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  72. “On Sociological Exploitation: Why the Guinea Pig Sometimes Bites” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  73. TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Thomas Tu (www.microbe.tv)
  74. AISTATS ’25 Best Paper award—Margossian and Saul on exact recovery of means and correlation in VI (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  75. How the World Became Awash in Synthetics (www.theatlantic.com)
  76. Breakfast Is Breaking (www.theatlantic.com)
  77. I. J. Good corner: The flying Venus flytrap and other partly-baked ideas (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  78. Books by Charles Rosen and Jeremy Denk on piano playing and the nature of music (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  79. TWiV 1215: What's the worst that could happen? (www.microbe.tv)
  80. (again) Yeah, yeah, I understand why you’re all talking about accusations of fraud. But for the rest of us, it’s about the non-replication and the bad science, not about possible fraud and blame (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  81. TWiV 1214: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  82. Measurement error model Stan fitting struggle: The funnel again rears its ugly head (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  83. Anticipated good news if the economy goes downhill (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  84. Well, That’s One Way to Address America’s Vaping Problem (www.theatlantic.com)
  85. The Texas County Where ‘Everybody Has Somebody in Their Family’ With Dementia (www.theatlantic.com)
  86. TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Chari Cohen (www.microbe.tv)
  87. Immune 91: People, parasites, plagues, and podcasts (www.microbe.tv)
  88. The End of Chicken-Breast Dominance (www.theatlantic.com)
  89. TWiV 1213: Secrets of HepB cccDNA (www.microbe.tv)
  90. TWiV 1212: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  91. World Economic Outlook (freerangestats.info)
  92. Trump’s Tariffs Are Coming for Your Chili Crisp (www.theatlantic.com)
  93. ‘This Is Not How We Do Science, Ever’ (www.theatlantic.com)
  94. Why Has America Ignored Its Best Addiction Treatment? (www.theatlantic.com)
  95. TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Stephan Urban (www.microbe.tv)
  96. TWiV 1211: Moo flu and dengue two (www.microbe.tv)
  97. TWiV 1210: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  98. TWiV 1209: Just say no to norovirus (www.microbe.tv)
  99. TWiV 1208: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  100. Immune Booster #11 Immunity to Fungi with Amy Hise (www.microbe.tv)