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  1. Pinning the group-level variance parameters to speed computation for hierarchical models (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  2. New Caledonia's nickel exports (freerangestats.info)
  3. What we can remember (the vagaries of literary fame) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  4. I have a horrible feeling sometimes that heavily promoted crap research on space aliens, cold showers, mind-body healing, schoolyard evolutionary psychology, extra-sensory perception, magic golf balls, air rage, himmicanes, subliminal smiley faces, etc etc etc, has softened the ground so that the seeds of more evil trees could then be planted and take root. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  5. Survey Statistics: more adventures in mismeasured X (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  6. A funny mismatch between the level of the course and what the instructor is doing on the blackboard (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  7. The Trump Administration’s Most Paralyzing Blow to Science (www.theatlantic.com)
  8. Immune 99: A Nobel for immune tolerance (www.microbe.tv)
  9. How the covid vaccine almost killed me (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  10. Looking at the Port Huron Statement, 63 years later (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  11. TWiV 1273: Myocarditis and mimicry (www.microbe.tv)
  12. “No one could suspect that times were coming . . . when the man who did not gamble would lose all the time, even more surely than he who gambled.” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  13. TWiV 1282: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  14. How much of an NBA team’s won-loss record is from skill and how much is luck? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  15. If only Lee Bollinger (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  16. Slop is not distinguishable by its attributes. It is an attitude of production (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  17. Holiday open thread: Correct me! Point out all my mistakes. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  18. Survey Statistics: is a mismeasured X better than none at all ? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  19. The problems with popular internet heuristics such as “Hanlon’s razor,” “steelmanning,” and “Godwin’s law,” all of which kind of fall apart in the presence of actual malice, actual bad ideas, and actual Nazis. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  20. I Bought ‘GLP-3’ (www.theatlantic.com)
  21. Postdoc opportunity at Stanford and Chicago on Bayesian hierarchical modeling and partial pooling for improving the accuracy and equity of property tax assessments (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  22. Who else is in the goddam dictionary? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  23. “I think there’s an argument to be made that much meta-scientific work is a kind of mirror image of the empirical work it critiques” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  24. TWiV 1281: Sex, herpes, and plankton (www.microbe.tv)
  25. The Island Without Time (www.theatlantic.com)
  26. Hey, I’m in the dictionary (too!) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  27. Hey, I’m in the dictionary! (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  28. TWiV 1280: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  29. Validating language models as study participants: How it’s being done, why it fails, and what works instead (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  30. What’s your Jordan3 number? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  31. The Trump Administration’s Unintended Autism Experiment (www.theatlantic.com)
  32. The Risk of Trump’s Marijuana Order (www.theatlantic.com)
  33. Everything I need to know I learned in Little League (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  34. “Re-examination of the 3/4-law of metabolism” and “Toward a metabolic theory of ecology” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  35. Measles’ Most Deceptive Trait (www.theatlantic.com)
  36. We may live in a state of prosecutorial overcorrection, but I think it’s a dialectical response to the fact that the default position for a certain kind of celebrity scientist has usually been ferocious, uncritical defense. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  37. The Most Feared Person at the NIH Is a Vaccine Researcher Plucked From Obscurity (www.theatlantic.com)
  38. Survey Statistics: 3rd helpings of the logit shift (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  39. Annals of idiot spam (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  40. The Big Tobacco Playbook Comes for Your Oreos (www.theatlantic.com)
  41. Immune Booster 20: Lipid GPS for T cells with Susan Schwab (www.microbe.tv)
  42. Simulating from and checking a model in Stan: It’s so easy in Stan Playground–it just runs on your browser! (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  43. Who is the most famous living person who was born on each continent? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  44. Combining a high-quality probability sample with data from larger online panels (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  45. TWiV 1279: Let hepatitis b (www.microbe.tv)
  46. The cathedral, the bazaar, and statistical workflow (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  47. TWiV 1278: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  48. If you’re interested in the Box-Cox power transformation . . . (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  49. Seven-parameter drift-diffusion pdfs and cdfs now in Stan (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  50. A slew of improvements to NUTS (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  51. “We conclude that apparent effects of growth mindset interventions on academic achievement are likely attributable to inadequate study design, reporting flaws, and bias.” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  52. StanCon 2026 registration and abstract submission are now open (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  53. 25,000 lives saved per ship sunk, $100,000 per citation, a probability of 10^-90 of a decisive vote . . . Is there a through line from B.S. numbers in junk science to B.S. numbers coming from the government? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  54. Survey Statistics: divine probabilities (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  55. “it has been argued that current chatbots may pose a risk of amplifying delusional thinking in vulnerable users, due to their tendency to sycophantic and overly validating behaviour” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  56. More on school reform, this time New Orleans (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  57. My new class this spring: POLS 4280, Rationalizing the World: The Hopes and Disappointments of American Social Science from 1900 to the Present (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  58. Yes, Some Children May Have Died From COVID Shots (www.theatlantic.com)
  59. The Rarest of All Diseases Are Becoming Treatable (www.theatlantic.com)
  60. The life of the artist “is a constant–and constantly losing–battle to keep at bay, on one side, the permanent shortfall of physical and mental abilities in the context of the perfection that art strives to be, and, on the other side, the inevitable arrival of silence and death.” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  61. TWiV 1277: Vaccine talk with Jake Scott (www.microbe.tv)
  62. This guy hates sociology. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  63. An idea for getting approximately calibrated 50% subjective probability ranges (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  64. TWiV 1276: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  65. The Vaccine Guardrails Are Gone (www.theatlantic.com)
  66. The Sapolsky Sanction (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  67. When the numbers don’t look right, check them! (Mississippi education update) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  68. From Bayesian inference to LLMs (Steve Bronder’s 2025 CppCon talk) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  69. Net migration in Pacific island countries (freerangestats.info)
  70. Gerd Gigerenzer on the legacy of Daniel Kahneman (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  71. Survey Statistics: probability samples vs epsem samples vs SRS samples (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  72. Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein in a remake of The Big Clock (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  73. America Refuses to Go Bald (www.theatlantic.com)
  74. Effective sample size depends on the quantity (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  75. TWiV 1275: An amazing sequence and a gutsy therapy (www.microbe.tv)
  76. Visual summaries of population in Pacific islands (freerangestats.info)
  77. TWiV 1274: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  78. You’re on Ozempic? How Quaint. (www.theatlantic.com)
  79. A War on Facts About Thanksgiving Dinner (www.theatlantic.com)
  80. Immune 98: T cells on the brain (www.microbe.tv)
  81. Why Is Robert F. Kennedy Jr. So Convinced He’s Right? (www.theatlantic.com)
  82. TWiV 1273: EBV and lupus have not escaped our notice (www.microbe.tv)
  83. TWiV 1272: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  84. Do Childhood Vaccines Cause Tornadoes? (www.theatlantic.com)
  85. Pour One Out for Weed Seltzer (www.theatlantic.com)
  86. The CDC’s Website Is Anti-Vaccine Now (www.theatlantic.com)
  87. RFK Jr.’s Miasma Theory of Health Is Spreading (www.theatlantic.com)
  88. Whoa-zempic! (www.theatlantic.com)
  89. America Has a Baby-Formula Problem—Again (www.theatlantic.com)
  90. TWiV 1271: Hokies go viral II (www.microbe.tv)
  91. RFK Jr.’s Cheer Squad Is Getting Restless (www.theatlantic.com)
  92. TWiV 1270: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  93. America’s Best Pasta Is Slipping Away (www.theatlantic.com)
  94. Who Would Want to Kill 314 Ostriches? (www.theatlantic.com)
  95. The Patches That Want to Fix Your Sleep, Sex, and Focus (www.theatlantic.com)
  96. Immune Booster 19: Virus-immune Tug-of-war with Kristian Andersen (www.microbe.tv)
  97. TWiV 1269: The smell of influenza in the morning (www.microbe.tv)
  98. Distribution of p-values under the null hypothesis for discrete data (freerangestats.info)
  99. TWiV 1268: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)