News

1. The Flu-Vaccine Routine Is Breaking (www.theatlantic.com)
2. TWiV 1329: How HIV-1 goes nuclear (www.microbe.tv)
3. When is detecting AI-generated text worthwhile? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
4. What is the relation between interactions in a regression model and correlations among the predictors? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
5. TWiV 1328: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
6. Old posts on the Monkey Cage blog, also something about Israel and Hamas (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
7. Against shallow anti-rational humanism (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
8. Canned Cocktails Will Smash You to the Ground (www.theatlantic.com)
9. Epidemiologist Donna Spiegelman sez: SUTVA is “mostly not necessary for valid causal estimation and inference most of the time” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
10. Survey Statistics: it is (still) the people (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
11. Say what you want about this junk survey, at least it’s more plausible than other hyped claims like the hyperloop or the idea that UFOs are space aliens! (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
12. Noem’s Razor and why I think the concept of “unintended consequences” is overrated (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
13. “Rationally Turbulent Expectations” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
14. TWiV 1327: Influenza viruses in the MIST (www.microbe.tv)
15. Against too-clever-by-half political science cynicism (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
16. TWiV 1326: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
17. 15 new articles on statistical workflow! (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
18. The U.S. Is Winging This Ebola Outbreak (www.theatlantic.com)
19. The Kappa Zoo: David Eubanks’s online monograph on rating models (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
20. What if scientists really were dispassionate observers, communicating ideas without irrational commitment? Look here, says AI. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
21. Statistical analysis recapitulates the development of statistical methods (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
22. No, Bayes does not like Mayor Pete. (Pitfalls of using implied betting market odds to estimate electability.) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
23. The Largest Undocumented Disparity in Maternal Health (www.theatlantic.com)
24. Survey Statistics: double-plus robustness (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
25. How much skill is in “skill games”? There can’t be much. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
26. Americans Have Entered the Age of the Needle (www.theatlantic.com)
27. Immune 104: All about allergies (www.microbe.tv)
28. “The Ten Year Affair” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
29. Physics fraud compared to fraud and junk science in the social and behavioral sciences (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
30. The Man Behind the Trump Administration’s Favorite Psychedelic (www.theatlantic.com)
31. TWiV 1325: Sticky flu with Hannah Rowe (www.microbe.tv)
32. The “humans are imperfect reporters too” defense for ascribing little thoughts to machines (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
33. Differences between crackdowns on dissent now and in the early Cold War period (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
34. TWiV 1324: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
35. Don’t cite sources you haven’t read, and don’t trust when people claim to be reporting something from the literature. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
36. Full day Stan tutorial at Modern Modeling Methods (M3) this summer in New York (22 June 2026) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
37. The U.S.’s Most Concerning Anti-Vaccine Policy (www.theatlantic.com)
38. “The Quick Fix: Why Fad Psychology Can’t Cure Our Social Ills” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
39. What do I think about that proposed Arxiv policy to ban authors of papers with AI slop? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
40. Matters Microbial #130: The Holobiont — Animals, Microbes, and Ecology (www.microbe.tv)
41. Survey Statistics: GREG (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
42. It’s Maddeningly Difficult to Ban Smoking (www.theatlantic.com)
43. This Ebola Outbreak Will Be Hard to Contain (www.theatlantic.com)
44. James Heathers will fix Wiley’s problems for less than 3.7 million dollars (that is, 2,553,739 Jamaican beef patties, 47,064 whisky-sodden meals at Newark airport, or nearly 218 invites to a conference featuring Gray Davis, Grover Norquist, and a rabbi) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
45. Immune Booster 29: Immune regulation and science communication with Nicholas Jackson (www.microbe.tv)
46. MrPlew: Locally Equivalent Weights for Multilevel Regression and Poststratification (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
47. Jonah’s seminar tomorrow: “Bayesian Workflow and the Software That Shapes It” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
48. What is “the definition of a professional career”? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
49. If Books Could Kill podcast (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
50. TWiV 1323: One influenza infection, two patients (www.microbe.tv)
51. Why are there squares everywhere in statistics (e.g., normal density, variance, least squares, etc.)? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
52. Sean Manning’s lexicon (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
53. TWiV 1322: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin - Hantavirus special (www.microbe.tv)
54. When is it time for a Five-Year Plan? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
55. A Perfume With a Whiff of MAGA (www.theatlantic.com)
56. Alchemize: PyMC’s model to replace Stan/PyMC, etc. with an LLM (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
57. “As our daily lives involve ever more sophisticated computers, we will find that ascribing little thoughts to machines will be increasingly useful in understanding how to get the most good out of them” but “we must be careful not to ascribe properties to a machine that the particular machine doesn’t have” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
58. “DC Conventional Wisdom Goes Down to Defeat in State after State” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
59. Why Did Bill Cassidy Do It? (www.theatlantic.com)
60. Recent discoveries on the acquisition of the highest levels of statistical fallacies (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
61. Survey Statistics: relevant alternatives ? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
62. The Application Matters: Medical Ethics and Counterfactual Utilities (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
63. A Profound Mismatch in Modern Medicine (www.theatlantic.com)
64. I’m on the EPA science advisory board. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
65. Durations of wars (freerangestats.info)
66. It kinda makes sense that you can know roughly 700 people. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
67. I Remember America Before the Measles Vaccine (www.theatlantic.com)
68. Who wanted Trump to run in 2024? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
69. Marty Makary Set the Conditions for His Own Downfall (www.theatlantic.com)
70. TWiV 1321: Phage cross talk and cross reactions (www.microbe.tv)
71. More thoughts regarding comfortable, powerful people who seem willing or even eager to blow up the system. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
72. Admit It, That Protein Shake Is Basically Soylent (www.theatlantic.com)
73. TWiV 1320: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
74. “An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
75. ‘This Is Not Going to Be the Next COVID’ (www.theatlantic.com)
76. The Pick-the-Winner-Picker Heuristic: Preference for Categorically Correct Forecasts (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
77. What Happened on the Hantavirus Cruise, According to a Doctor On Board (www.theatlantic.com)
78. David W. Hogg on why we do astrophysics (in the face of LLMs and the lack of clinical value) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
79. Overall, I remain a fan of Oliver Sacks. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
80. Misoprostol Could Be Next (www.theatlantic.com)
81. Handbook of Markov chain Monte Carlo, second edition (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
82. A Brutal First for the Cruise Industry (www.theatlantic.com)
83. Survey Statistics: Blue Rose Research is (still) hiring ! (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
84. What Adding Race to BMI Can Do (www.theatlantic.com)
85. Immune Booster 28: Immunometabolism, Inflammation, and Building Biotechs with Luke O'Neill (www.microbe.tv)
86. The Cost of ‘Natural’ Womanhood (www.theatlantic.com)
87. TWiV 1319: An earful of SARS-CoV-2 (www.microbe.tv)
88. Your Next Dog May Live Longer (www.theatlantic.com)
89. TWiV 1318: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
90. The Secret to Success Is ‘Monotasking’ (www.theatlantic.com)
91. The Trump Administration Casts Out the ‘Soul’ of MAHA (www.theatlantic.com)
92. Immune Booster 27: Interferons, JAKs, and STATs with George Stark (www.microbe.tv)
93. Is It the Shoes? (www.theatlantic.com)
94. TWiV 1317: Dead shrimp walking (www.microbe.tv)
95. TWiV 1316: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
96. Immune 103: Cytokines 101 (www.microbe.tv)
97. TWiV 1315: Jabs for bats (www.microbe.tv)
98. TWiV 1314: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
99. TWiV 1313: Maybe they're all dementia vaccines (www.microbe.tv)
100. TWiV 1312: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)