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- MAHA Has a Pizza Problem (www.theatlantic.com)
- Anything you can do with Bayesian inference you can do in other ways. Bayesian inference is a bit like calculus: You can do derivatives and integrals without calculus (indeed, mathematicians in pre-Newtonian times were able to compute limits, with care), but calculus makes it a lot easier. Similarly, I find that Bayesian inference makes it a lot easier to combine information. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Different sequences in narrative: why suspense can go flat (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- More on the emptiness of the government’s “gold standard science” slogan (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Mount Everest’s Xenon-Gas Controversy Will Last Forever (www.theatlantic.com)
- Survey Statistics: 2 flavors of calibration (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- “Gold standard science” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Pascal’s triangle, the Ramanujan principle, and what makes something look like a part of an ellipse or a part a parabola? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- A PTSD Therapy ‘Seemed Too Good to Be True’ (www.theatlantic.com)
- Survey Statistics: it is the people (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Names in fiction (Perkus Tooth, Morrison Roog, Ragle Gumm, Addison Doug, Bodie Kane, and Thalia Keith) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- TWiV 1223: Someone is guano be sick (www.microbe.tv)
- The ladder of abstraction in statistical graphics (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- HIV’s Most Promising Breakthrough Has Taken a Hit (www.theatlantic.com)
- TWiV 1222: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
- Statistical graphics: When does it make sense to introduce deliberate distortion to counteract an expected perceptual illusion? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- LLMs as behavioral study participants (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Russian roulette: You can have a deterministic potential-outcome framework, or an asymmetric utility function, but not both (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- The Conversations Trump’s Doctors Should Be Having With Him (www.theatlantic.com)
- Ecologists’ endless quest for automatic inference (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Jerzy Neyman, Sigmund Freud, and Milton Friedman walk into a bar . . . (the mistaken association of null hypothesis testing with rigor) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Election analytics positions available at the New York Times (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Immune 92: Gut symbiont breaks antibody (www.microbe.tv)
- Taking our Models Seriously (my talk at StanBio Connect, this Friday 9am) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- The ‘Man-Eater’ Screwworm Is Coming (www.theatlantic.com)
- Market and antimarket: The story of the Berkeley Electronic Press (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- “Perplexing Plots”: Crime fiction, modernism, and the air of rigor (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- TWiV 1221: Nonsense mediated decay (www.microbe.tv)
- xkcd on radon (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- A Convenient Piece of Junk Science (www.theatlantic.com)
- TWiV 1220: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
- “Exploratory data analysis” and “confirmatory data analysis” are the same thing. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- RFK Jr.’s Worst Nightmare (www.theatlantic.com)
- Eunji Kim’s book, “The American Mirage: How Reality TV Upholds the Myth of Meritocracy” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- COVID Shots for Kids Are Over (www.theatlantic.com)
- Prior as data, prior as belief, prior as soft constraint, prior as unconditional distribution in a generative model (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- “What happened in 2024” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Trump Thinks He Knows What Started the Pandemic (www.theatlantic.com)
- “Can language models predict the next twist in a story?” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Which AI coding assistant should I be using? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- The MAHA Crowd Is Already Questioning Biden’s Cancer Diagnosis (www.theatlantic.com)
- Test Schedule (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- If only Arxiv required researchers to sign at the top rather than the bottom of the page, none of this would’ve happened. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Graduation Days: A tale of two campuses (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Why were schools so slow to return to in-person instruction? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- TWiV 1219: Koalas sweep horse shift (www.microbe.tv)
- An alternative Monty Hall problem. As with the usual Monty Hall problem, just set it up as a probability tree and it all works out (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- The Neo-Anti-Vaxxers Are in Power Now (www.theatlantic.com)
- TWiV 1218: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
- Struggles with surveying nonvoters and young voters (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Animated population pyramids for the Pacific (freerangestats.info)
- Too many polls: “As news consumers, we’re like gluttons stuffing our faces with 5 potato chips at a time, just grabbing them out of the bag.” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- The Mother Who Never Stopped Believing Her Son Was Still There (www.theatlantic.com)
- Using Stan to do sequential Bayesian updating (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- The Lives They’re Living and this new biography of Elaine May (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Chaining Bayesian inference with priors constructed from posterior draws (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- The fractal nature of scientific revolutions (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Immune Booster #12: Innate immunity to Archaea with Holger Heine (www.microbe.tv)
- Weight-Loss Drugs Aren’t Really About Weight (www.theatlantic.com)
- Bad advice all over the internet (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Plotting truth vs. predicted value (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- TWiV 1217: Alternative vax and pandemic origins (www.microbe.tv)
- A study is conducted on two groups. When does it make sense to report two separate estimates, and when does it make sense to just report the pooled estimate? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- TWiV 1216: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
- Back before he was a vaccine denier, law professor Richard Epstein was a cliche-spinning dispenser of misinformation (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- The MAHA Takeover Is Complete (www.theatlantic.com)
- Don’t Hold Out On Me: Some thoughts on out-of-sample prediction (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Now Is Not the Time to Eat Bagged Lettuce (www.theatlantic.com)
- Misattribution (when someone claims you said something that you’ve never said)–it’s kind of like plagiarism in reverse. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- ‘It’s All Cronyism Going Forward’ (www.theatlantic.com)
- Evaluation blind spots and eliciting moving targets (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- “On Sociological Exploitation: Why the Guinea Pig Sometimes Bites” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Thomas Tu (www.microbe.tv)
- AISTATS ’25 Best Paper award—Margossian and Saul on exact recovery of means and correlation in VI (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- How the World Became Awash in Synthetics (www.theatlantic.com)
- Breakfast Is Breaking (www.theatlantic.com)
- I. J. Good corner: The flying Venus flytrap and other partly-baked ideas (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Books by Charles Rosen and Jeremy Denk on piano playing and the nature of music (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- TWiV 1215: What's the worst that could happen? (www.microbe.tv)
- (again) Yeah, yeah, I understand why you’re all talking about accusations of fraud. But for the rest of us, it’s about the non-replication and the bad science, not about possible fraud and blame (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- TWiV 1214: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
- Measurement error model Stan fitting struggle: The funnel again rears its ugly head (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Anticipated good news if the economy goes downhill (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
- Well, That’s One Way to Address America’s Vaping Problem (www.theatlantic.com)
- The Texas County Where ‘Everybody Has Somebody in Their Family’ With Dementia (www.theatlantic.com)
- TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Chari Cohen (www.microbe.tv)
- Immune 91: People, parasites, plagues, and podcasts (www.microbe.tv)
- The End of Chicken-Breast Dominance (www.theatlantic.com)
- TWiV 1213: Secrets of HepB cccDNA (www.microbe.tv)
- TWiV 1212: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
- World Economic Outlook (freerangestats.info)
- Trump’s Tariffs Are Coming for Your Chili Crisp (www.theatlantic.com)
- ‘This Is Not How We Do Science, Ever’ (www.theatlantic.com)
- Why Has America Ignored Its Best Addiction Treatment? (www.theatlantic.com)
- TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Stephan Urban (www.microbe.tv)
- TWiV 1211: Moo flu and dengue two (www.microbe.tv)
- TWiV 1210: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
- TWiV 1209: Just say no to norovirus (www.microbe.tv)
- TWiV 1208: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
- Immune Booster #11 Immunity to Fungi with Amy Hise (www.microbe.tv)