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News

  1. Struggles with surveying nonvoters and young voters (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  2. Too many polls: “As news consumers, we’re like gluttons stuffing our faces with 5 potato chips at a time, just grabbing them out of the bag.” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  3. The Mother Who Never Stopped Believing Her Son Was Still There (www.theatlantic.com)
  4. Using Stan to do sequential Bayesian updating (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  5. The Lives They’re Living and this new biography of Elaine May (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  6. Chaining Bayesian inference with priors constructed from posterior draws (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  7. The fractal nature of scientific revolutions (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  8. Immune Booster #12: Innate immunity to Archaea with Holger Heine (www.microbe.tv)
  9. Weight-Loss Drugs Aren’t Really About Weight (www.theatlantic.com)
  10. Bad advice all over the internet (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  11. Plotting truth vs. predicted value (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  12. TWiV 1217: Alternative vax and pandemic origins (www.microbe.tv)
  13. A study is conducted on two groups. When does it make sense to report two separate estimates, and when does it make sense to just report the pooled estimate? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  14. TWiV 1216: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  15. Back before he was a vaccine denier, law professor Richard Epstein was a cliche-spinning dispenser of misinformation (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  16. The MAHA Takeover Is Complete (www.theatlantic.com)
  17. Don’t Hold Out On Me: Some thoughts on out-of-sample prediction (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  18. Now Is Not the Time to Eat Bagged Lettuce (www.theatlantic.com)
  19. Misattribution (when someone claims you said something that you’ve never said)–it’s kind of like plagiarism in reverse. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  20. ‘It’s All Cronyism Going Forward’ (www.theatlantic.com)
  21. Evaluation blind spots and eliciting moving targets (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  22. “On Sociological Exploitation: Why the Guinea Pig Sometimes Bites” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  23. TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Thomas Tu (www.microbe.tv)
  24. AISTATS ’25 Best Paper award—Margossian and Saul on exact recovery of means and correlation in VI (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  25. How the World Became Awash in Synthetics (www.theatlantic.com)
  26. Breakfast Is Breaking (www.theatlantic.com)
  27. I. J. Good corner: The flying Venus flytrap and other partly-baked ideas (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  28. Books by Charles Rosen and Jeremy Denk on piano playing and the nature of music (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  29. TWiV 1215: What's the worst that could happen? (www.microbe.tv)
  30. (again) Yeah, yeah, I understand why you’re all talking about accusations of fraud. But for the rest of us, it’s about the non-replication and the bad science, not about possible fraud and blame (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  31. TWiV 1214: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  32. Measurement error model Stan fitting struggle: The funnel again rears its ugly head (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  33. Anticipated good news if the economy goes downhill (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  34. Here’s what’s happening with time-shifting of births. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  35. What is judgment and decision making (JDM)? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  36. Well, That’s One Way to Address America’s Vaping Problem (www.theatlantic.com)
  37. “They had it all but they wanted more”: Left-wing radicals in the 1960s and right-wingers now (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  38. The Texas County Where ‘Everybody Has Somebody in Their Family’ With Dementia (www.theatlantic.com)
  39. Of plagues and chickens: How can someone be so skeptical in one place and so credulous somewhere else? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  40. TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Chari Cohen (www.microbe.tv)
  41. Immune 91: People, parasites, plagues, and podcasts (www.microbe.tv)
  42. Generalizing for Sampling and Causal Inference (my talk 3pm today at the University of Maryland) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  43. The End of Chicken-Breast Dominance (www.theatlantic.com)
  44. I don’t buy that claim that “eating whole foods and avoiding toxins” is a “horseshoe” alliance of the far left and far right (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  45. TWiV 1213: Secrets of HepB cccDNA (www.microbe.tv)
  46. “Either a 2% or a 75% chance of rain” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  47. TWiV 1212: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  48. The well-meaning but useless or counterproductive social science establishment (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  49. World Economic Outlook (freerangestats.info)
  50. Trump’s Tariffs Are Coming for Your Chili Crisp (www.theatlantic.com)
  51. Let’s take apart this claim by Christopher Lasch from 1977 that hasn’t aged well: “Such changes have made both racist ideology and the ideology of martial conquest, appropriate to an earlier age of empire-building, increasingly anachronistic.” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  52. ‘This Is Not How We Do Science, Ever’ (www.theatlantic.com)
  53. “The difference between ‘significant’ and ‘not significant’ is not itself statistically significant” . . . in the wild! (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  54. Why Has America Ignored Its Best Addiction Treatment? (www.theatlantic.com)
  55. Friday 10am: Online conversation on “Experiments, Causal Inference, and Limits of Evidence” with Nancy Cartwright and Berna Devezer (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  56. Good Job, MAHA (www.theatlantic.com)
  57. The Error-Reversal Heuristic: How would you have reacted had the mistake gone in the opposite direction? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  58. TWiV Special: A shot of HepB with Stephan Urban (www.microbe.tv)
  59. New course this fall at Columbia: Laboratory in Justice Data Science (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  60. What day of the year will have the fewest noninduced births? (Difference between mathematical and statistical reasoning) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  61. Intergenerational socioeconomic mobility over time for different ethnic groups (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  62. TWiV 1211: Moo flu and dengue two (www.microbe.tv)
  63. Buy your Tesla at closing time: For 15 years, these stocks have been mildly fluctuating during the day and shooting up overnight. (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  64. TWiV 1210: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  65. Dumb statistical models, always making people look bad (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  66. Doxastic Logic: a model of beliefs (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  67. What happened to genetic algorithms? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  68. Drowning in junk science: Is there any hope at all? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  69. The Disaster of School Closures Should Have Been Foreseen (www.theatlantic.com)
  70. How Organ Meat Got Into Smoothies (www.theatlantic.com)
  71. ‘In Three Months, Half of Them Will Be Dead’ (www.theatlantic.com)
  72. A new journal just for publishing reanalyses of published empirical research findings (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  73. Did Non-Voters Really Flip Republican in 2024? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  74. Do You Have Your Cootie Shot? (www.theatlantic.com)
  75. Republicans Are Right About Soda (www.theatlantic.com)
  76. The hinge function provided “a tractable solution to an important and long standing problem in the field of fluvial geomorphology–the prediction of bedload sediment transport in rivers.” How cool is that? (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  77. “No Vehicles in the Park”: A multilevel-model computing saga (including some Bayesian workflow) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  78. “Republicans Want to Change the Culture. Can They?” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  79. TWiV 1209: Just say no to norovirus (www.microbe.tv)
  80. Funniest spam of the week (an offer of $200,000) (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  81. TWiV 1208: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  82. Trump’s Revenge on Public Health (www.theatlantic.com)
  83. Skepticism about the science establishment, then and now (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  84. Guess What Kind of Cooking Oil Is Tariff-Proof? (www.theatlantic.com)
  85. Blue Rose Research is hiring ! (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  86. What RFK Jr. Told Grieving Texas Families About the Measles Vaccine (www.theatlantic.com)
  87. “It was, in retrospect, a festival of side-taking.” (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  88. There is no empirical optimal (statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
  89. Immune Booster #11 Immunity to Fungi with Amy Hise (www.microbe.tv)
  90. America Is Backsliding Toward Its Most Polluted Era (www.theatlantic.com)
  91. What Makes Modern Measles Outbreaks Different (www.theatlantic.com)
  92. TWiV 1207: Taking a shot at dementia (www.microbe.tv)
  93. My Snail Mucin Is Caught in a Trade War (www.theatlantic.com)
  94. TWiV 1206: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  95. TWiV 1205: Pluviosity didn't kill the bat (www.microbe.tv)
  96. TWiV 1204: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)
  97. Immune 90: Immunology of Injury (www.microbe.tv)
  98. TWiV 1203: What's old is flu again (www.microbe.tv)
  99. TWiV 1202: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin (www.microbe.tv)